Department of Economics
- Professor Winters’ research interests include impact evaluation of development projects, rural poverty, migration and remittances, fertility, cash transfer programs in developing countries, rural livelihood strategies, tourism and smallholder agriculture. His regional focus is primarily in Latin America with some recent research in Africa. His teaching fields include development microeconomics, project evaluation and environmental economics.
DegreesPhD, Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of California at Berkeley, 1996 Master of Arts, Economics, University of California at San Diego, 1992 Bachelor of Arts, Non-Western Studies, University of San Diego, 1988
Scholarly, Creative & Professional Activities
Todd, Jessica, Paul Winters and Guy Stecklov. (2011) “Evaluating the Impact of the Poverty-Reduction Programs on Fertility: The Case of the Red de Protección Social in Nicaragua.” Journal of Population Economics 25(1): 267-290.
Cavatassi, Romina, Mario Gonzalez , Paul Winters, Jorge Andrade, Patricio Espinosa and Graham Thiele. (2011) “Linking Smallholders to the New Agricultural Economy: An Evaluation of the Plataformas Program in Ecuador.” Journal of Development Studies 47(10): 1545-1573.
Zezza , Alberto, Paul Winters, Benjamin Davis, Gero Carletto, Katia Covarrubias, Luca Tasciotti and Esteban Quiñones. (2011) “Rural Household Access to Assets and Agrarian Institutions: A Cross Country Comparison.” European Journal of Development Research 23(4): 569-597.
Winters, Paul, Alessandro Maffioli and Lina Salazar. (2011) “Evaluating the Impact of Agricultural Projects in Developing Countries: Introduction to the Special Feature” Journal of Agricultural Economics 62(2): 393-402.
Cavatassi, Romina, Mario Gonzalez, Lina Salazar and Paul Winters. (2011) “Do Agricultural Projects Alter Crop Production Technologies? Evidence from Ecuador.” Journal of Agricultural Economics 62(2): 403-428.
Winters, Paul and Vera Chiodi (2011) “Oportunidades, Human Capital Investment and Long-term Poverty Reduction in Rural Mexico.” Journal of International Development 23(4): 515–538.
Todd, Jessica and Paul Winters (2011) “The Effect of Early Interventions in Health and Nutrition on On-time School Enrollment: Evidence from the Oportunidades Program in Rural Mexico.” Economic Development and Cultural Change 59(3): 549-581.
Zezza, Alberto, Gero Carletto, Benjamin Davis and Paul Winters. (2011) “Assessing the Impact of Migration on Nutrition.” Food Policy 36(1): 1-6.
Karamba, Wendy, Esteban J. Quiñones and Paul Winters. (2011) “Migration and nutrition in Ghana.” Food Policy 36(1): 41-53.
Nguyen, Minh and Paul Winters. (2011) “The impact of migration on nutrition: the case of Vietnam.” Food Policy 36(1): 71-87.
Handa, Sudhanshu, Benjamin Davis, Marco Stampini and Paul Winters (2010) “Heterogeneous Treatment Effects in Conditional Cash Transfer Programs: Assessing the impact of Progresa on Agricultural Households” Journal of Development Effectiveness 2(3):320-335.
Winters, Paul, Timothy Essam, Alberto Zezza, Benjamin Davis and Gero Carletto. (2010) “Patterns of Rural Development: A Cross-Country Comparison Using Microeconomic Data.” Journal of Agricultural Economics 61(3): 628–651.
Carletto, Gero, Angeli Kirk, Paul Winters, and Benjamin Davis (2010) “Globalization and Smallholders: The Adoption, Diffusion, and Welfare Impact of Non-Traditional Export Crops in Guatemala.” World Development 38(6): 814-827.
Carletto, Gero, Benjamin Davis and Paul Winters (2010) “Migration, Transfers and Economic Decision Making among Agricultural Households.” Journal of Development Studies 46(1): 1-13.
Todd, Jessica, Paul Winters and Tom Hertz (2010) “Conditional Cash Transfers and Agricultural Production: Lessons from the Oportunidades Experience in Mexico.” Journal of Development Studies 46(1): 39-67.
Davis, Benjamin, Paul Winters, Gero Carletto, Katia Covarrubias, Esteban J. Quiñones, Alberto Zezza, Kostas Stamoulis, Carlo Azzarri and Stefania DiGiuseppe (2010) “A Cross Country Comparison of Rural Income Generating Activities.” World Development 38(1): 48-63.
Work In Progress
Soares, Fernanda, Guy Stecklov and Paul Winters. “Household composition and the extreme poor in Sub-Saharan Africa.” January 2012..
Boone, Ryan, Katia Covarrubias, Benjamin Davis and Paul Winters. “The Impact of Social Cash Transfers on Agricultural Production: The Case of Malawi.” January 2012.
Stecklov, Guy, Alex Weinreb and Paul Winters. “Response bias and incentives in conditional cash transfer programs.” January 2012.
Heracleous, Maria, Mario Gonzalez and Paul Winters. “Conditional Cash Transfers and Schooling Choice: Evidence from Urban Mexico.” December 2011.
Winters, Paul and Carola Alvarez. “The Development Checklist Manifesto: How to Get Development Projects Right.” December 2011.
Salazar, Lina and Paul Winters. “The impact of seed market access and transaction costs on potato biodiversity and yields in Bolivia.” July 2011.
Cavatassi, Romina, Leslie Lipper and Paul Winters. “Sowing the seeds of social relations: Social capital and agricultural diversity in Hararghe Ethiopia.” July 2011.
Winters, Paul, Leonardo Corral and Adela Moreda Mora. “Assessing the Role of Tourism in Poverty Alleviation: A Research Agenda.” February 2011.
Gonzalez, Mario, Maria Heracleous and Paul Winters. “Retargeting Conditional Cash Transfer Programs.” February 2011.