TED Case Studies

Economic Sanction vs FDI: Policy Determinations for Burma



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I. Identification

1. The Issue

Burma was once a democratic country. However, in 1962, the country's democratic system was destroyed because of the military coup, and since then the country has been ruled by a brutal military government. The issue of Human Rights Violation in this country has been recognized in the international community since then. There is an on going debate about economic sanctions and foreign direct investment in the country like Burma which violates international standard of human rights. In this situation, the United States has imposed economic sanction on Burma while the Japanese government has determined that the constructive engagement is the better solution. The purpose of this research is to compare those two different policy impacts, and analyze the possible consequences of each strategy.

2. Description

The people of Burma continue to live under a highly authoritarian military regime that is widely condemned for its serious human rights abuses. The military regime in Burma, the State Law and Order Restoration Council(SLORC), has made no progress in the past six months in moving toward greater democratization, nor has it made any progress toward fundamental improvement in the quality of life of the people of Burma. The Burmese economy appears to be further weakening and that the government has a serious shortage of foreign exchange reserves with which to pay for imports. Money from the trafficking of illicit narcotics likely accounts for a substantial net inflow of what foreign exchange is coming in. The SLORC continues to dominate the political, economic and social life of the country in the same arbitrary, heavy-handed way that it has since seizing power in September 1988 after harshly suppressing massive pro-democracy demonstrations. U.S. policy toward Burma seeks progress in three key areas: democracy, human rights, and counternarcotics. They have taken strong measures to pressure the SLORC to end its repression and move towards democratic government. Since 1989, the United States has been unable to certify that Burma has cooperated in efforts against narcotics. The U.S. has suspended economic aid, withdrawn GSP and OPIC, implemented an arms embargo, blocked assistance from international financial institutions, downgraded their representation from Ambassador to Charge, and imposed visa restrictions on senior leaders and their families.

3. Related Cases

Iraq sanctions

Serb sanction

Haiti sanction

Macedon sanction

Latvia sanction

4. Draft Author: Kimie Tanabe (Fall, 1998 )


II. Legal

5. Discourse and Status: Economic sanction and ODA

6. Forum and Scope: WTO and multilateral

7. Decision Breadth: 3 (US, Japan and Myanmar)

8. Legal Standing: treaty

The President of the United States signed Executive Order 13047 invoking the authority of section570(d)of the Foriegn Operations, Export Financing, and Related Programs Appropriations Act, 1997 and of section 203 of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act to impose a ban on new investment by U.S. persons in Burma effective May 21,1997. The order prohibits U.S. persons from engaging in any of the following activities if they are undertaken pursuant to an agreement, or pursuant to the exercise of rights under such an agreement, that is entered into with the Government of Burma or a nongovernmental entity in Burma on or after May 21, 1997.


III. Geography

9. Geographic Locations:

a. Geographic Domain: Asia

b. Geographic Site: Southeast Asia

c. Geographic Impact: Burma

10. Sub-National Factors:

Many of the citizens of Burma remain in exile because of fear of persecution and poor economic conditions. About 21,000 Rohingya Muslims from Arakan state remain in camps in Bangladesh. A few thousand students and dissidents remain in Thailand. Approximately 119,000 individuals now reside in ethnic minority camps along the Thai-Burma border, among them thousands of new arrivals driven out by army attacks in the area controlled by the Karen and Karenni ethnic minorities.

11. Type of Habitat: tropical


IV. Trade

12. Type of Measure: sanction and foreign direct investment

US Economic Sanction:

As long as Burma's military dictators hold on to power without regard for a national reconciliation that would lead to peace, stability and economic progress, the United States policy will still remain the same. The plan for implementations of Section 570 of Public Law 104-208 submitted to the U.S. Congress on June 24, 1998.

Japanese ODA for Burma:

The analysis of the resumption of yen loans for Burma by the Japanese government is often reported by Japanese media. The yen loans are not to be resumed until the military junta shows visible progress towards democracy. This was the clear policy of the Hashimoto cabinet and the newly built Obuchi cabinet will continue this policy. However, in spite of the growing demand for the termination of ODA to Burma from pro-democracy activists, the government of Japan continues to give ODA to Burma. Following is the list of Japanese ODA:

1)Aid for Rangoon Nurses College in July 1995 (1.625 billion yen /US$13 million).

This grant was doubled in 1998 due to the increase number of the students.

2)Agricultural aid in 1994 (1 billion yen/US$8 million).

3)New Food Production Aid in 1998 .

4)Grassroots Grants in 1997 (The amount of each project ranges from 2 million20

yen/US$14,000 to 10 million yen/US$ 70,000.).


20 V. Impacts

13. Direct and Indirect Impacts:

-The US economic sanction has severe impact on Burma not only directly but also indirectly. Growing political objections to the country have precluded most international banks from lending to the country. Chase Manhattan and Citibank were forced to pull out of a US$ 100 million one-year loan for Thai company PTT Exploration and Production pcl in July because funds were to be used for the construction of a pipeline to Myanmar.

-While the US imposed sanctions, Japan still has good-will ties with the junta. Japanese government determines that the constructive engagement with the military government is more productive to move the country toward democracy. Japanese attitude is more acceptable to dictators than US approach. Japan always tries to show their affirmation even if progress is far beyond that of international request. The results of this attitude hopefully lead the military junta to listen to the voices of Japanese officials.

14. Relation of Trade Measure to Environmental Impact

a. Directly Related to Product: Tremendous

b. Indirectly Related to Product: No

c. Not Related to Product: No

d. Related to Process: rights

15. Trade Product Identification: many

16. Economic Data

Burma is an underdeveloped country, with an average per capita GDP of $200 to $300. Even after adjusting for the relative purchasing power of the Burmese currency, per capita GDP is perhaps $600 to $900.

The Data of Economic Performance in Burma


GNP growth rate(%) Export as of % of GDP
Burma 1.6 4
All developing countries 3 3.3
Least developed countries 0.4 0.7
GNP growth rate: GNP per capita annual growth rate (%) 1965-1980

Export as % GDP: % annual growth rate in 1980-1992

*The data are from UNDP "Trends in Economic Performance".


Progress on market reforms has been mixed and uneven. Beginning in 1988 the Government partly opened the economy to permit expansion of the private sector and to attract foreign investment. Though modest economic improvement ensued, since 1993 the pace of economic reform has slowed and major obstacles to further reform persist. These include disproportionately large military spending, extensive overt and covert state involvement in economic activity, excessive state monopolization of leading exports, a bloated bureaucracy prone to arbitrary and opaque governance, and poor human and physical infrastructure. In addition, the most important factor is that the SLORC does not have access to external credit from the IMF, the World Bank and Asian Development Bank. Money laundering in Burma is a growing problem, and the laundering of drug profits is thought by some analysts to have widespread impact on the Burmese economy.

17. Impact of Trade Restriction: high

The European Union and Japan called for a World Trade Organization dispute panel over a controversial Massachusetts state law barring procurement from companies trading with Burma in September, 1998. The National Foreign Trade Council representing 580 companies, including many of the biggest US multinationals urged that the law effectively bars companies doing business with Burma from bidding for public contracts in Massachusetts, worth about $2 billion a year. According to the paper in the federal court, 346 companies were affected, and Apple, the computer group, has cited the law as one reason for withdrawing from Burma. The NFTC argues that the law violates the US consitution, which says making foreign policy and regulating foreign trade are federal rights. They say that the law breaches the WTO's government procurement agreement, which is designed to prevent procurement decision being based on political factors.

18. Industry Sector: many

19. Exporters and Importers: US and Burma

V. Environment

20. Environmental Problem Type: non

21. Name, Type, and Diversity of Species: not relevant

22. Resource Impact and Effect: depletion of natural resources

23. Urgency and Lifetime: low

24. Substitutes: no products


VI. Other

25. Culture: yes

26. Trans-Boundary Issues: refugees

Since the early 1990s, not only has the number of refugees fleeing the country risen dramatically, but the reason they are leaving have multiplied. The vast majority of people fleeing are members of Burma ethnic and religious minorities and they are leaving as a result of human rights abuses.

27. Rights: human rights

The United Nations, US State Department, Human Rights Watch, Amnesty International and other NGOs have credibly documented that the SLORC routinely tortures its political op ponents, uses forced labor on a massive scale construction projects, and encourages the rape of ethnic minority women.

28. Relevant Literature:

-"US Sanctions Against Burma: A Failure On All Fronts" by Leon T. Hadar.

-Situation of Human Rights in Myanmar(UN Special Rapporteur) Nov. / Dec., 1997.

-CRS Report for Congress, Burma-US Relations, July 4 , 1997.

-The Union of Myanmar: Review of the Financial, Economic and Social Cond itions for 1996-97, Ministry of National Planning and Economic Development, 1997.

-Trends in Economic Performance, UNDP, 1998.



-The End-