School of Public Affairs experts weigh in on what to expect in 2017. #Predictionsfor2017
Predicting the Unpredictable in 2017
American University's School of Public Affairs faculty weigh in
At the end of each year, SPA’s faculty make their predictions about the year ahead. 2017 is proving to be more challenging than previous years, but our experts are still eager to weigh in. Watch faculty predictions about immigration, unconscious bias, presidential power, and more here.
American University’s School of Public Affairs is home to experts in public administration and policy, justice, law, and government.
Learn more about what SPA faculty members are sharing for their #PredictionsFor2017.
Jocelyn Johnston Professor
I predict that in 2017, the healthcare reform known as ObamaCare will grow both in popularity and in terms of enrollments.
Carla Flink Assistant Professor
The federal debt is growing and it will continue to grow and so that will be a challenge for the administration going forward.
Matthew Wright Assistant Professor
I think we'll see probably some incremental steps in order…that will sort of go in the direction of securing borders, but I don't expect to see any sort of broadscale moves against Muslims or against illegal immigrants generally.
Taryn Morrissey Assistant Professor
For the first time, we have a Republican President-elect who has a maternity leave plan, and a child care plan. They are both very expensive, so I don’t anticipate the Republican Congress acting on it.
Chris Edelson Assistant Professor
In 2017, I believe that the US system of checks and balances will be pushed in a way that it hasn’t been pushed since the Nixon years, in terms of presidential power.
Bradley Hardy Assistant Professor
I predict that states are going to take minimum wages into their own hands, we won’t see federal minimum wages likely increase, but we’ll continue to see action on the local and state level.
Anita McBride Executive in Residence
We should expect to see a very involved First Daughter and other members of the family be participating in White House life.
Thomas Zeitzoff Assistant Professor
You are going see more protests. Probably more violent responses from the US government and law enforcement officials. Internationally, we expect that world leaders are going to want to challenge President-elect Trump and they want to see where his words stop and his actions begin.
Barbara Romzek Dean
I predict in 2017 that we are going to see much more focus on accountability of elected officials and Corporate America in ways that we haven't seen in decades.
Nathan Favero Assistant Professor
In 2017, I think that the Department of Education’s Office for Civil Rights will take a less active role in collecting data and looking into racial disparities in K-12 education.
Vicky Wilkins Associate Dean
We've worked hard to bring diversity to organizations and now we are going to have to figure out how to really make sure we are getting the benefits of diversity.
Seth Gershenson Assistant Professor
So my prediction for 2017 is that we begin to talk more and more and hear more and more about implicit bias, also known as unconscious bias, in schools and in the criminal justice system, as well as in the labor market.