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Research@SPA: National Security & Terrorism

Research at SPA

Select Research in National Security and Terrorism

Terrorism and Voting Behavior

A study by Thomas Zeitzoff and Anna Getmansky examines how the threat of rocket attacks affects voting behavior in Israel. Localities in southern Israel have been exposed to rocket attacks from the Gaza Strip since 2001. The researchers first show that the evolution of the rockets’ range leads to exogenous variation in the threat of terrorism. Then they compare voting in national elections within and outside the rockets’ range. The research suggests that the right-wing vote share is 2 to 6 percentage points higher in localities that are within the range - a substantively significant effect. The study, “Terrorism and Voting: The Effect of Rocket Threat on Voting in Israeli Elections,” appears in American Political Science Review.

Recent Articles & Papers

Bacon, T. L. (2015). “Disaggregating and Defeating Terrorist Safe Havens,” Studies in Conflict and Terrorism, 1, pp. 1-28


Bacon, T. L. (2014). “Alliance Hubs: Focal Points in the International Terrorist Landscape,” Perspectives on Terrorism, 6(4), pp. 4-27


Bacon, T. L. (Forthcoming). “Hurdles to International Terrorist Alliances: Lessons from al-Qaida’s Experience,” Journal of Terrorism and Political Violence


Findley, M.G. and Young, J. K. (Forthcoming). “Terrorism, Spoiling, and the Resolution of Civil War,” Journal of Politics


Conrad, J., Conrad, C., and Young, J. K. (2014). “Tyrants and Terrorism: Why some Autocrats are Terrorized while Others Are Not,” International Studies Quarterly, 58(3), pp. 539-549


Hendrix, C. and Young, J. K. (2014). “State Capacity and Terrorism: A Two Dimensional Approach,” Security Studies 23(2), pp. 329-363


Getmanksy, A. and Zeitzoff, T. C. (2014). “Voting within the Range of Fire: The Effect of Exposure to Rockets on Israeli Voters,” American Political Science Review, 108(3), pp. 588-604


Zeitzoff, T. C. (2014). “Anger, Exposure to Violence, and Intragroup Conflict: A ‘Lab in the Field’ Experiment in Southern Israel,” Political Psychology, 35(3), pp. 309-335


Zeitzoff, T. C., Kelly, J., and Lotan, G. (Forthcoming). “Using Social Media to Measure Foreign Policy Dynamics: An Empirical Analysis of the Iranian–Israeli Confrontation (2012–13),” Journal of Peace Research


Bausch, A. and Zeitzoff, T. C. (Forthcoming). “Citizen Information, Electoral Incentives, and Provision of Counter-Terror: An Experimental Approach,” Political Behavior