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Xuguang Sheng Associate Professor Economics

Send email to Xuguang Sheng
(202) 885-3782 (Office)
CAS - Economics
Kreeger - 119
Tu & W 3-5pm
PhD, Economics, University at Albany, SUNY; BA, Economics, Renmin University of China

Xuguang Simon Sheng is an Associate Professor of Economics at American University. His research interests include time series econometrics, monetary policy and business cycles. He has published in Journal of Econometrics, Review of Economics and Statistics, Journal of International Monetary and Finance, Journal of Accounting and Economics, and Oxford Handbook on Economic Forecasting. He has also been awarded a Heinz König Young Scholar Award from Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW). He has served as a reviewer for highly ranked journals in his field, as a reviewer for National Science Foundation and as a co-organizer of four international conferences.
For the Media
To request an interview for a news story, call AU Communications at 202-885-5950 or submit a request.


Spring 2021

  • ECON-322 Applied Econometrics I

  • ECON-424 Applied Econometrics II

Summer 2021

  • ECON-301 Intermediate Macroeconomics

Fall 2021

  • ECON-882 Sem: Empirical Macroeconomics

  • ECON-896 Selected Topics:Non-Recurring: Seminar in Econ Forecasting

Scholarly, Creative & Professional Activities

Selected Publications

  • Expectation Formation Following Large Unexpected Shocks (2020), with S. Baker and T. McElroy, Review of Economics and Statistics, vol. 102, pp. 287-303.
  • Measuring Global and Country-specific Uncertainty (2018), with E. Ozturk, Journal of International Money and Finance, vol. 88, pp. 276-295. Dataset (.xlsx file)
  • Truncated Product Methods for Panel Unit Root Tests (2013), with J. Yang, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, vol. 75, pp. 624-636.
  • A New Measure of Earnings Forecast Uncertainty (2012), with M. Thevenot, Journal of Accounting and Economics, vol. 53, pp. 21-33.
  • Measuring Forecast Uncertainty by Disagreement: The Missing Link (2010), with K. Lahiri, Journal of Applied Econometrics, vol. 25, pp. 514-538.
  • Evolution of Forecast Disagreement in a Bayesian Learning Model (2008), with K. Lahiri, Journal of Econometrics, vol. 144, pp. 325-340.


Honors, Awards, and Fellowships

  • International Travel Award, American University, 2012, 2015, 2018
  • Mellon Faculty Development Award, American University, 2014, 2015, 2018
  • Heinz König Young Scholar Award, The Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) in Mannheim, 2010
  • Distinguished Doctoral Dissertation Award, SUNY at Albany, 2008
  • Pong Lee Award for Excellence in Teaching, SUNY at Albany, 2007

Research Interests

Professor Sheng’s current research focuses on expectation formation, limited attention, economic policy uncertainty, early warning system, panel unit root and cointegration.

Work In Progress

  • The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Business Expectations, with B. Meyer and B. Prescott
  • Health Shocks in A General Equilibrium Model, with S. Abo-Zaid
  • COVID-induced Recession Began in March, with H. Li
  • Is This Time Different? Cross-country Evidence on the Revenue Impact of Tax Reforms, with D. Amaglobeli, and V. Crispolti
  • Stock Prices, Lockdowns, and Economic Activity in the Time of Coronavirus, with S. Davis and D. Liu
  • Economic Policy Uncertainty in China since 1949: The View from Mainland Newspapers, with S. Davis and D. Liu


AU Experts

Area of Expertise

Econometric theory, applied econometrics, analysis of economic survey data, time series modeling, forecasting, monetary economics

Additional Information

Xuguang (Simon) Sheng's current research focuses on panel unit root and cointegration, p-value combination methods, forecast uncertainty measurement, and term structure of survey forecasts. He has published in the Journal of Econometrics, Journal of Applied Econometrics,and International Journal of Forecasting and Oxford Handbook on Economic Forecasting. He has recently won the Heinz Konig Young Scholar Award from the Center for European Economic Research (ZEW).

For the Media

To request an interview for a news story, call AU Communications at 202-885-5950 or submit a request.

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