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Xuguang Sheng Associate Professor Economics

Send email to Xuguang Sheng
(202) 885-3782 (Office)
CAS - Economics
Kreeger - 119
Tu & W 3-5pm
PhD, Economics, University at Albany, SUNY; BA, Economics, Renmin University of China

Xuguang Simon Sheng is an Associate Professor of Economics at American University. His research interests include time series econometrics, economic and financial forecasting. He has published in Journal of Econometrics, Journal of Applied Econometrics, Journal of International Monetary and Finance, Journal of Accounting and Economics, and Oxford Handbook on Economic Forecasting. He has also been awarded a Heinz König Young Scholar Award from Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW). He has served as a reviewer for highly ranked journals in his field, as a reviewer for National Science Foundation and as a co-organizer of four international conferences.
For the Media
To request an interview for a news story, call AU Communications at 202-885-5950 or submit a request.

Scholarly, Creative & Professional Activities

Research Interests

Professor Sheng’s current research focuses on expectation formation, limited attention, economic policy uncertainty, early warning system, panel unit root and cointegration.

Honors, Awards, and Fellowships

  • International Travel Award, American University, 2012, 2015, 2018
  • Mellon Faculty Development Award, American University, 2014, 2015, 2018
  • Heinz König Young Scholar Award, The Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) in Mannheim, 2010
  • Distinguished Doctoral Dissertation Award, SUNY at Albany, 2008
  • Pong Lee Award for Excellence in Teaching, SUNY at Albany, 2007

Selected Publications

  • Expectation Formation Following Large Unexpected Shocks (2019), with S. Baker and T. McElroy, Review of Economics and Statistics, forthcoming.
  • Measuring Global and Country-specific Uncertainty (2018), with E. Ozturk, Journal of International Money and Finance, vol. 88, pp. 276-295. Dataset (.xlsx file)
  • Truncated Product Methods for Panel Unit Root Tests (2013), with J. Yang, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, vol. 75, pp. 624-636.
  • A New Measure of Earnings Forecast Uncertainty (2012), with M. Thevenot, Journal of Accounting and Economics, vol. 53, pp. 21-33.
  • Measuring Forecast Uncertainty by Disagreement: The Missing Link (2010), with K. Lahiri, Journal of Applied Econometrics, vol. 25, pp. 514-538.
  • Evolution of Forecast Disagreement in a Bayesian Learning Model (2008), with K. Lahiri, Journal of Econometrics, vol. 144, pp. 325-340.


Work In Progress

  • Economic Policy Uncertainty in China since 1949: The View from Mainland Newspapers, with S. Davis and D. Liu
  • Term Structure of Uncertainty: New Evidence from Survey Expectations, with C. Binder and T. McElroy
  • Measuring Historical Uncertainty and Some Tests for Forecaster Heterogeneity, with K. Lahiri and H. Peng, submitted.
  • Monitoring Structural Breaks: A Bayesian Sequential Quickest Detection Method, with H. Li, submitted.
  • Inattention: Measurement, Determinants and Policy Implications, with S. Abo-Zaid
  • Disagreement in Consumer Inflation Expectations, with T. Lyziak


AU Experts

Area of Expertise

Econometric theory, applied econometrics, analysis of economic survey data, time series modeling, forecasting, monetary economics

Additional Information

Xuguang (Simon) Sheng's current research focuses on panel unit root and cointegration, p-value combination methods, forecast uncertainty measurement, and term structure of survey forecasts. He has published in the Journal of Econometrics, Journal of Applied Econometrics,and International Journal of Forecasting and Oxford Handbook on Economic Forecasting. He has recently won the Heinz Konig Young Scholar Award from the Center for European Economic Research (ZEW).

For the Media

To request an interview for a news story, call AU Communications at 202-885-5950 or submit a request.

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